World: Club Friendlies
Parma meet Iraklis Thessaloniki on August 1, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.
Recent form (W-D-L): Parma 1-2-2, Iraklis Thessaloniki 1-1-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Parma โ 74%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Parma): model 51% ยท market 72% ฮ โ21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Parma 73.7%, draw 17.4%, win Iraklis Thessaloniki 8.9%. Model favourite โ Parma.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | — | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.35 29.9% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 1.93 51.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | — | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 2.25 44.4% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 3.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.23 81.3% | |
| X | 5.40 18.5% | 5.50 18.2% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.40 18.5% |
| 12.00 8.3% | 12.00 8.3% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.30 8.9% |
Full head-to-head historyParma - Iraklis Thessaloniki
The Parma - Iraklis Thessaloniki breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
