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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Polkovitse 🇵🇱 - Elenya-Gura 🇵🇱

Futbol
P
Polkovitse 🇵🇱
1 : 3
Finished
E
Elenya-Gura 🇵🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Polkovitse 🇵🇱 - Elenya-Gura 🇵🇱 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Elenya-Gura 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 9.50 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 54.0%
1 28.9%
X 6.8%
2 64.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Polkovitse 🇵🇱 - Elenya-Gura 🇵🇱

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 2.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.08 48.1% 2.72 36.8%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.45 69.0% 1.57 63.7% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.62 38.2%
X 2.30 43.5%
3.54 28.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 0.5 4.01 24.9%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%