Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Ponferradina take on Unionistas Salamanca on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ponferradina 1-2-2, Unionistas Salamanca 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ponferradina — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ponferradina): model 39% · market 42% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ponferradina 41.4%, draw 28.1%, win Unionistas Salamanca 30.5%. Model favourite — Ponferradina.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.32 75.8% |
| x2 | 1.50 66.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | |
| X | 2.05 48.8% |
| 3.76 26.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% | |
| 2.17 46.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% |
Full head-to-head historyPonferradina - Unionistas Salamanca
The Ponferradina - Unionistas Salamanca breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
