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World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

World: Club Friendlies

Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Guiseley AFC

Football
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Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
- : -
Not started
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Guiseley AFC
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Guiseley AFC โ€” 52%

1 ยท Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ29.3%
X ยท draw18.7%
2 ยท Guiseley AFC52.1%

Model estimate: win Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 29.3%, draw 18.7%, win Guiseley AFC 52.1%. Model favourite โ€” Guiseley AFC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Guiseley AFC (odds1.80) Score 1:2 confidence 52%
  • Model backs Guisli ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 52% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.80)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) โ€” informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Guiseley AFC July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Guiseley AFC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / X 3.65 / 2 1.87

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 26.1%
X 25.0%
2 48.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 1 : 3 Guiseley AFC
13.85
X3.74
21.74

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:0 ยท 9'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

9'
26% 25% 49%
Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (1) Draw (X) Guiseley AFC (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Guiseley AFC

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 23.7% 29.3%
Draw 24.1% 18.7% draw risk
Guiseley AFC 52.2% 52.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.3% / 18.7% / 52.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,703 Pontefrakt ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Guiseley AFC
RD 350 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,277-2,130 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 52.1%
X 3.65 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.50 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 29.3%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 81.3%
1X 1.80 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 47.9%
X2 1.27 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 70.7%
Handicap
2 -1 2.27 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 1.42 Fonbet ยท line only
1 +1 1.59 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 2.65 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 1.68 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.05 48.8% 2.47 40.5%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.80 55.6%
x2 1.27 78.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.19 23.9%
X 2.36 42.4%
2.28 43.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 2.18 45.9%
Under 0.5 4.01 24.9%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center

Odds ยท 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.7 (Pari) ยท X 4.1 (Pari) ยท 2 1.77 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.7 4.1 1.77
Fonbet 3.7 4.1 1.77
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Guiseley AFC
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4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points