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31.07.2026 08:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 08:00 UTC
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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Portimonense - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
P
Portimonense
-
:
-
Not started
N
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 67%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 42% ยท market 33% ฮ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Portimonense 9.5%, draw 23.8%, win Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 66.7%. Model favourite โ Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds1.69)
Score 1:2
confidence 59%
- • Model backs Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 59% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.69)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Portimonense - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Portimonense. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 4.00 / 2 2.85
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.6%
1
43.6%
X
23.5%
2 ✓ Pick
32.9%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
2.15
โ 2.15
1X2 X
4.00
โ 4.00
1X2 P2
2.85
โ 2.85
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Portimonense
2
:
1
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
114.00
X6.50
21.20
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Portimonense - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Portimonense
7.8%
9.5%
Draw
23.9%
23.8%
draw risk
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
68.3%
66.7%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
9.5% / 23.8% / 66.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,490 / 1,649
Portimonense / Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
214 / 189
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,062-1,919 / 1,270-2,027
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.85
Fonbet ยท weak value +90.1% ยท model 66.7%
X
4.00
Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.15
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 9.5%
Double chance
12
1.22
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 76.2%
1X
1.40
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 33.3%
X2
1.65
Fonbet ยท value +49.3% ยท model 90.5%
Handicap
2 -1
1.40
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1
4.20
Fonbet ยท line only
2 0
2.18
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1
2.75
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.43
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.60
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.80
Fonbet ยท line only
Yes
1.40
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 2.97 33.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 1.40 71.4% |
| x2 | — | 1.01 99.0% | 1.65 60.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 8.10 12.4% | |
| X | 2.22 45.1% |
| 1.90 52.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.67 59.9% |
Match center
Portimonense
D
W
L
Portimonense
1:1
Eshtrela ๐ต๐น
Portimonense
2:0
Al-Akhli ๐ธ๐ฆ
Al-Akhli ๐ธ๐ฆ
Portimonense
0:3
Riu Ave ๐ต๐น
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
4
Points
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
D
L
W
W
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1:1
Vitoriya Gimaraynsh ๐ต๐น
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:5
Riu Ave ๐ต๐น
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
3:0
Blekbern ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:0
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPortimonense - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Portimonense
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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