Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

PSV - FC Eindhoven

Football

PSV

- : -

Not started

FC Eindhoven

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 PSV — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · PSV): model 42% · market 73% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · PSV ✓ Pick70.7%

market73%

X · draw16.1%

market16%

2 · FC Eindhoven13.2%

market12%

Model estimate: win PSV 70.7%, draw 16.1%, win FC Eindhoven 13.2%. Model favourite — PSV.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1PSV (odds1.23) Score 2:0 Under 3.5 (odds1.90) confidence 65%

• liniya na pik P1 1.33→1.25 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs PSV 🇳🇱: probability 65% vs 81% on the line (odds 1.23)
• no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:0
• Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 3.5 (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PSV - FC Eindhoven July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PSV.

Line favourite market consensus: PSV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.79 / 2 7.83
1X2 market: PSV 72.4% / X 15.8% / FC Eindhoven 11.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%

1 ✓ Pick 72.5%

X 15.8%

2 11.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.33 ↓ 1.28

1X2 X 5.90 ↑ 6.00

1X2 P2 6.90 ↑ 8.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

PSV 4 : 1 FC Eindhoven

11.32

X5.75

27.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model PSV 71%

💹 Market PSV 7244%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

PSV - FC Eindhoven

Form 4/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

PSV 72.5% 70.7% market and model agree

Draw 15.8% 16.1% draw risk

FC Eindhoven 11.7% 13.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 70.7% / 16.1% / 13.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,582 / 1,636 PSV / FC Eindhoven

RD 212 / 181 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,158-2,005 / 1,274-1,999 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 13.2%

X 6.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 70.7%

Double chance

12 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 83.9%

1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 86.8%

X2 3.50 Fonbet · no value · model 29.3%

Handicap

2 -1 2.80 Fonbet · line only

2 0 5.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.38 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.85 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.25 80.0%
X	6.00 16.7%	6.05 16.5%	6.00 16.7%	5.90 17.0%	6.00 16.7%	5.75 17.4%
	8.30 12.1%	8.65 11.6%	6.50 15.4%	7.50 13.3%	8.50 11.8%	8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.85 35.1%	2.73 36.6%
yes	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.09 91.7%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%
1x	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.05 95.2%
x2	3.15 31.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.50 28.6%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	29.00 3.5%
0_1	29.00 3.5%
0_2	46.00 2.2%
0_3	91.00 1.1%
1_0	11.00 9.1%
1_1	11.00 9.1%
1_2	19.00 5.3%
1_3	46.00 2.2%
1_4	101.00 1.0%
2_0	8.50 11.8%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	81.00 1.2%
3_0	8.50 11.8%
3_1	8.00 12.5%
3_2	13.00 7.7%
3_3	34.00 2.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 5.0 gls

2025-07-30 · PSV Eyndkhoven 3:2 Eyndkhoven

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.33 (Winline) · X 6 (Winline) · 2 8 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.3	5.8	8
Winline	1.33	6	7
Fonbet	1.3	5.8	8
Betcity	1.32	6	7.2
Liga Stavok	1.32	5.6	6.6

Source: ruscore · line comparison

PSV

L W D D

25.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

PSV 1:3 Vilyarreal 🇪🇸

18.07 08:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

PSV 7:3 Yunion Sent-Zhillua 🇧🇪

11.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

PSV 2:2 Rakuv 🇵🇱

04.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

PSV 1:1 Antverpen 🇧🇪

1 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.8 Scored

2.3 Conceded

5 Points

FC Eindhoven

L D D W D

25.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

FC Eindhoven 2:4 Genk U23 🇧🇪

18.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

FC Eindhoven 0:0 Den Boskh 🇳🇱

11.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

FC Eindhoven 2:2 Villem II 🇳🇱

08.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

FC Eindhoven 2:0 Breda 🇳🇱

04.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

FC Eindhoven 1:1 De Treffers/Kegro 🇳🇱

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPSV - FC Eindhoven

PSV

0 matches total

FC Eindhoven

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

PSV - FC Eindhoven

AI match prediction PSV - FC Eindhoven July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

PSV - FC Eindhoven

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match history