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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱 - Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿

Football
P
Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱
1 : 0
Finished
B
Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱 - Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱.

Line favourite market consensus: Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.44 / 2 2.69
  • 1X2 market: Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱 39.7% / X 26.5% / Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿 33.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 39.6%
X 26.5%
2 33.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱 - Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
X 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.13 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.39 41.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7%
X 3.56 28.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
2.68 37.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.11 90.1% 2.15 46.5%
yes 5.20 19.2% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.24 80.7% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.49 67.1% 1.62 61.7% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.78 36.0%
X 2.20 45.5%
3.50 28.6%
Match center
Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱
W
01.07 06:15 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Pyast Glivitse 🇵🇱 1:0 Katovitse 🇵🇱Katovitse 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿
W
01.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Banik Ostrava 🇨🇿 3:1 Kromerzhizh 🇨🇿
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points