UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Real Bedford - St Albans City
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Real Bedford — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Real Bedford): model 29% · market 25% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Real Bedford 43.3%, draw 23.6%, win St Albans City 33.1%. Model favourite — Real Bedford.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Albans 🏴 (football)
- • Model backs Real Bedford 🏴: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
- • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Bedford - St Albans City July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / X 10.00 / 2 1.06
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 1:3 · 50'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
50'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Real Bedford - St Albans City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 4.00 25.0% | 2.03 49.3% |
| yes | 1.19 84.0% | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 6.70 14.9% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.57 28.0% | |
| X | 2.10 47.6% |
| 2.90 34.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.71 27.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Odds · 3 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.2 |
| Fonbet | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.2 |
| Betcity | 1.95 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
Real Bedford
Khanvort 🏴
Full head-to-head historyReal Bedford - St Albans City
Match history
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The Real Bedford - St Albans City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form