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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Real Madrid 🇪🇸 - Leganes 🇪🇸

Football
R
Real Madrid 🇪🇸
- : -
Not started
L
Leganes 🇪🇸
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Real Madrid 🇪🇸 — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Real Madrid 🇪🇸): model 41% · market 64% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Real Madrid 🇪🇸 ✓ Pick67.2%
market64%
X · draw18.8%
market20%
2 · Leganes 🇪🇸13.9%
market16%

Model estimate: win Real Madrid 🇪🇸 67.2%, draw 18.8%, win Leganes 🇪🇸 13.9%. Model favourite — Real Madrid 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leganes 🇪🇸 (odds6.70) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Leganes 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 15% on the line (odds 6.70)
  • • edge over the line +35 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid 🇪🇸 - Leganes 🇪🇸 July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Real Madrid 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.47 / X 4.60 / 2 5.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 ✓ Pick 63.7%
X 20.4%
2 15.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.28 ↑ 1.40
1X2 X 5.60 ↓ 4.80
1X2 P2 9.50 ↓ 7.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Real Madrid 🇪🇸 4 : 1 Leganes 🇪🇸
11.42
X4.84
27.13

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:0 · 123'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

0:0
Real Madrid 🇪🇸 Leganes 🇪🇸
0Corners0

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
115 predictions Choose an outcome
1 94% 109
X 1% 2
2 3% 4
Double chance X2 2.94 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 2.04 (22) - handicap1:-1 1.56 (8) - handicap2:1_5 1.73 (3)
total_t2_under total_t2_over:1 2.46 (3) - total_t1_over:1_5 1.40 (3) - total_t1_over:2_5 2.23 (3)
Total TB 3.5 2.25 (4) - TB 3 1.74 (3) - TB 2.5 1.46 (2)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Real Madrid 🇪🇸 94%
📐 Math model Real Madrid 🇪🇸 67%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Real Madrid 🇪🇸 - Leganes 🇪🇸

Football, Real Madrid - Leganes, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Real Madrid - Leganes, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 96 - Stavka.tv 19 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Real Madrid 🇪🇸 68.9% 67.2% market and model agree
Draw 18.6% 18.8% draw risk
Leganes 🇪🇸 12.5% 13.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 67.2% / 18.8% / 13.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,569 Real Madrid 🇪🇸 / Leganes 🇪🇸
RD 350 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,166-1,972 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.90 Fonbet · no value · model 13.9%
X 4.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.47 Fonbet · no value · model 67.2%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 81.2%
1X 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 86.1%
X2 2.60 Fonbet · no value · model 32.8%
Handicap
2 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.14 87.7%
x2 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.60 38.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.84 54.4%
X 2.67 37.5%
6.20 16.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Over 2 2.65 37.7%
Under 1 2.29 43.7%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 2 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Real Madrid 🇪🇸
D D D
23.05.2026 Championat
Real Madrid 🇪🇸 23.05.2026 Spain — Primera Real Madrid 4 : 2 Atletik B 38-y Round
17.05.2026 Championat
Real Madrid 🇪🇸 17.05.2026 Spain — Primera Sevilya 0 : 1 Real Madrid 37-y Round
14.05.2026 Championat
Real Madrid 🇪🇸 14.05.2026 Spain — Primera Real Madrid 2 : 0 Ovedo 36-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Leganes 🇪🇸
W D D L
24.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 2:0 Penafiel 🇵🇹
22.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 0:0 Nacional 🇵🇹
17.07 06:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 0:0 Albasete 🇪🇸
11.07 15:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 1:2 Levante 🇪🇸
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
5 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Real Madrid 🇪🇸
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Leganes 🇪🇸
Real Madrid 🇪🇸 Team comparison Leganes 🇪🇸
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Real Madrid Leganes 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 85% 9% 6% Double chance 47% 45% 8% Materialy po prognozam «Bavariya» — «Real» Madrid: missiya Arbeloa nevypolnima Match nedeli v Lige chempionov! «Bavariya» — «Real»: u razbitogo koryta V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — net. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Manchester Siti» — «Real» Madrid: dlya Gvardioly ne vse poteryano «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? «Benfika» — «Real»: na etot raz fokusy Mourinyu ne srabotayut Arteta and zdes lider, «Barsa» blizka k stykam. Rasklady na poslednie tury Ligi chempionov «Real» Khabi Alonso na shag vperedi «Barselony». Chego zhdat ot novogo sezona v La Lige Debyut Alonso s «Realom» and Indzagi s «Al-Khilyalem»: kto favorit gruppy N klubnogo ChM-2025 CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWid