Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
26.06.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Residence Walferdange - Mondorf (Lyuk)

Futbol
R
Residence Walferdange
2 : 0
Finished
M
Mondorf (Lyuk)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Residence Walferdange - Mondorf (Lyuk) June 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Residence Walferdange. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 9.00 / 2 1.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 81.5%
1 54.5%
X 6.1%
2 39.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.06.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Residence Walferdange - Mondorf (Lyuk)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.37 market consensus · line only
X 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 11.50 8.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.04 96.2%
7.10 14.1%
1.01 99.0%
8.50 11.8%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
7.60 13.2%
1.05 95.2%
11.00 9.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 0.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 5.20 19.2%
Over 3 1.78 56.2%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 8.00 12.5%
Over 4.5 11.50 8.7%
Over 5.5 6.40 15.6%
Under 0.5 4.60 21.7%
Under 1.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 2.5 1.11 90.1%
Under 3 1.97 50.8%
Under 3.5 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.04 96.2%
Under 4.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5%