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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
10.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή - Istanbul Basaksehir

Futbol
R
Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
1 : 1
Finished
Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή - Istanbul Basaksehir July 10, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Istanbul Basaksehir. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.99 / X 4.80 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 18.4%
X 19.1%
2 62.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.92 Conceded 2.28 xG 1.71 xGA 1.21
Istanbul Basaksehir
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.09 xG 2.05 xGA 1.22

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
Rating 1616
Istanbul Basaksehir
Rating 1529

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 1 : 1 Istanbul Basaksehir
14.44
X4.58
21.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή - Istanbul Basaksehir

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 market consensus Β· line only
X 4.80 market consensus Β· line only
1 4.99 market consensus Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.81 market consensus Β· line only
1 +1 1.93 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.74 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.42 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.42 70.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.64 21.6%
X 2.89 34.6%
1.86 53.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 1.5 1.97 50.8%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.93 51.8%
1.81 55.3%
Match center
Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
L
03.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Rid πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 2:4 Regensburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺRegensburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Istanbul Basaksehir
L
05.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Istanbul Basaksehir 1:3 Krakoviya πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points