Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Rid 🇦🇹 - Istanbul Basaksehir

Futbol
R
Rid 🇦🇹
1 : 1
Finished
Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rid 🇦🇹 - Istanbul Basaksehir July 10, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Istanbul Basaksehir. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.99 / X 4.80 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 18.4%
X 19.1%
2 62.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rid 🇦🇹
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.92 Conceded 2.28 xG 1.71 xGA 1.21
Istanbul Basaksehir
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.09 xG 2.05 xGA 1.22

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rid 🇦🇹
Rating 1616
Istanbul Basaksehir
Rating 1529

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rid 🇦🇹 1 : 1 Istanbul Basaksehir
14.44
X4.58
21.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Rid 🇦🇹 - Istanbul Basaksehir

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 market consensus · line only
X 4.80 market consensus · line only
1 4.99 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.42 70.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.64 21.6%
X 2.89 34.6%
1.86 53.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 1.5 1.97 50.8%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.93 51.8%
1.81 55.3%
Match center
Rid 🇦🇹
L
03.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Rid 🇦🇹 2:4 Regensburg 🇩🇪Regensburg 🇩🇪
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Istanbul Basaksehir
L
05.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Istanbul Basaksehir 1:3 Krakoviya 🇵🇱
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points