Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Rizespor - Abha
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Rizespor — 66%
Pure model vs market (1 · Rizespor): model 58% · market 68% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Rizespor 66.5%, draw 19.1%, win Abha 14.4%. Model favourite — Rizespor.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Rizespor 🇹🇷: probability 53% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
- • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rizespor - Abha July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rizespor.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.88 / 2 6.91
- 1X2 market: Rizespor 67.8% / X 18.8% / Abha 13.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Rizespor - Abha
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% | 4.95 20.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.95 20.2% |
| 6.20 16.1% | 7.65 13.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.70 13.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% | 1.74 57.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 2.60 38.5% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.75 36.4% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_3 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 3_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 3_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
Osiek 🇭🇷
Full head-to-head historyRizespor - Abha
Match history
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