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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

31.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Not started

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Rizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦

Football

Rizespor

- : -

Not started

Abkha 🇸🇦

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rizespor — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rizespor): model 58% · market 68% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rizespor ✓ Pick68.1%

market68%

X · draw19.0%

market19%

2 · Abkha 🇸🇦12.9%

market13%

Model estimate: win Rizespor 68.1%, draw 19.0%, win Abkha 🇸🇦 12.9%. Model favourite — Rizespor.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rizespor (odds1.46) Score 2:1 confidence 53%

• Model backs Rizespor 🇹🇷: probability 53% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
• no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦 July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rizespor.

Line favourite market consensus: Rizespor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.83 / 2 6.99
1X2 market: Rizespor 67.7% / X 19.0% / Abkha 🇸🇦 13.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%

1 ✓ Pick 67.9%

X 19.0%

2 13.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.35 → 1.35

1X2 X 4.90 ↓ 4.80

1X2 P2 7.70 ↓ 7.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rizespor 2 : 1 Abkha 🇸🇦

11.36

X4.95

27.65

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 14:00 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Rizespor 68%

💹 Market Rizespor 6769%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Rizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦

Form 4/0 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Rizespor 68.8% 68.1% market and model agree

Draw 19.0% 19.0% draw risk

Abkha 🇸🇦 12.3% 12.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 68.1% / 19.0% / 12.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,761 / 1,500 Rizespor / Abkha 🇸🇦

RD 204 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,353-2,168 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.50 Fonbet · no value · model 12.9%

X 4.80 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 68.1%

Double chance

12 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 81.0%

1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 87.1%

X2 2.95 Fonbet · no value · model 31.9%

Handicap

2 +1 2.02 market consensus · line only

2 0 4.47 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.74 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.18 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Betfair	Marathonbet
	1.37 73.0%	1.38 72.5%	1.30 76.9%	1.36 73.5%
X	4.90 20.4%	4.50 22.2%	5.00 20.0%	4.90 20.4%
	7.47 13.4%	5.50 18.2%	7.50 13.3%	7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.05 48.8%
yes	1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.09 91.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.15 87.0%
1x	1.01 99.0%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%
x2	2.90 34.5%	3.20 31.3%	2.95 33.9%

Exact Score

Outcome	1xBet
0_0	17.00 5.9%
0_1	21.00 4.8%
0_10	100.00 1.0%
0_2	46.00 2.2%
0_3	80.00 1.3%
0_4	100.00 1.0%
0_5	100.00 1.0%
0_6	100.00 1.0%
0_7	100.00 1.0%
0_8	100.00 1.0%
0_9	100.00 1.0%
1_0	8.00 12.5%
1_1	9.00 11.1%
1_10	100.00 1.0%
1_2	17.00 5.9%
1_3	65.00 1.5%
1_4	100.00 1.0%
1_5	100.00 1.0%

Match center

Rizespor

L W D W

28.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Rizespor 1:2 Khall 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

25.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Rizespor 3:1 Osiek 🇭🇷

17.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Rizespor 0:0 Erzurumspor 🇹🇷

15.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Rizespor 3:0 Dinamo Batumi 🇬🇪

2 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦

Rizespor

0 matches total

Abkha 🇸🇦

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Rizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦

AI match prediction Rizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦 July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Line movement

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Rizespor - Abkha 🇸🇦

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Match history