Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Rotherham face Derby on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Rotherham 2-2-1, Derby 1-1-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Rotherham — 62%
Model estimate: win Rotherham 61.9%, draw 18.1%, win Derby 20.0%. Model favourite — Rotherham.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.79 55.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.54 28.3% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 2.68 37.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | |
| 1.61 62.1% |
Sheffild Yunayted 🏴
Alfreton 🏴
Matlok 🏴
Derby
Mansfild Taun 🏴
Frayburg 🇩🇪
Alfreton 🏴
Full head-to-head historyRotherham - Derby
The Rotherham - Derby breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
