PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή - Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή

Football
S
Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
- : -
Not started
A
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή β€” 54%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή): model 32% Β· market 57% Ξ” βˆ’25 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή23.6%
X Β· draw22.3%
2 Β· Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή54.1%

Model estimate: win Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 23.6%, draw 22.3%, win Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 54.1%. Model favourite β€” Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή (odds4.10) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Model backs Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή: probability 54% vs 24% on the line (odds 4.10)
  • • edge over the line +29 pp β€” value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή - Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.30 / X 4.40 / 2 1.63

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 21.7%
X 21.2%
2 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή - Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 22.2% 23.6%
Draw 22.3% 22.3% draw risk
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 55.5% 54.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.6% / 22.3% / 54.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,479 Santarem πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή / Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
RD 350 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,078-1,880 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 54.1%
X 4.32 market consensus Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.00 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 23.6%
Double chance
12 1.15 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 77.7%
1X 2.06 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 45.9%
X2 1.19 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 76.4%
Handicap
2 -1 2.02 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 1.31 market consensus Β· line only
1 +1 1.74 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 3.10 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.63 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.39 41.8%
yes 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.98 50.5% 2.14 46.7%
x2 1.16 86.2% 1.21 82.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.34 23.0%
X 2.57 38.9%
2.08 48.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5 2.14 46.7%
Under 0.5 3.59 27.9%
Under 1.5 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
W L L L W
25.07 07:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 3:1 Portu (B) πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
22.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 1:2 Tondela πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
18.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 0:2 Vitoriya Gimaraynsh πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
15.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 0:5 Torrinse πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
11.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Akademika πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή 1:0 Maritimu πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points