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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
29.07.2026 14:30 UTC
29.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Utebo

Football
S
Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ
- : -
Not started
U
Utebo
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ β€” 75%

Pure model vs market (1 Β· Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ): model 44% Β· market 76% Ξ” βˆ’32 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ ✓ Pick74.7%
market76%
X Β· draw15.8%
market16%
2 Β· Utebo9.5%
market8%

Model estimate: win Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 74.7%, draw 15.8%, win Utebo 9.5%. Model favourite β€” Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ (odds1.28) Score 2:0 confidence 69%
  • • Model backs Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ: probability 69% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-8 pp) β€” informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Utebo July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 5.80 / 2 11.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 ✓ Pick 76.3%
X 15.8%
2 8.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.28 ↓ 1.20
1X2 X 4.80 ↑ 5.80
1X2 P2 11.00 ↑ 11.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 1 : 1 Utebo
11.30
X4.75
28.80

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ - Utebo

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ 76.6% 74.7% market and model agree
Draw 15.4% 15.8% draw risk
Utebo 8.0% 9.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 74.7% / 15.8% / 9.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Saragosa πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ / Utebo
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 market consensus Β· no value Β· model 9.5%
X 5.80 Fonbet Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.20 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 74.7%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 84.2%
1X 1.01 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 90.5%
X2 4.05 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 25.3%
Handicap
2 -1 3.15 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 7.90 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 1.30 Fonbet Β· line only
1 0 1.04 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 2.20 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0%
x2 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.57 63.7%
X 3.00 33.3%
11.00 9.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 1 1.58 63.3%
Over 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 0.5 3.59 27.9%
Under 1 2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5 1.65 60.6%