Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Sassuolo meet Celta on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sassuolo 2-2-1, Celta 2-2-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Celta — 37%
Pure model vs market (2 · Celta): model 34% · market 37% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sassuolo 36.8%, draw 26.0%, win Celta 37.2%. Model favourite — Celta.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.29 43.7% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.46 68.5% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.50 66.7% |
| x2 | 1.42 70.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.48 67.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.14 31.9% | |
| X | 2.23 44.8% |
| 3.01 33.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Full head-to-head historySassuolo - Celta
The Sassuolo - Celta breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
