Match center
Start
29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Sutton United - Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2
:
1
Finished
F
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Sutton United โ 62%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Sutton United): model 55% ยท market 62% ฮ โ7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sutton United 61.8%, draw 22.3%, win Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 15.9%. Model favourite โ Sutton United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Sutton United (odds1.43)
Score 2:0
confidence 63%
โ outcome correct
- • Model backs Satton Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 63% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sutton United - Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sutton United.
Strongest: Sutton United - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.08 / 2 5.69
- 1X2 market: Sutton United 61.9% / X 22.2% / Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 15.9%
- Glicko: Sutton United 61.8% / X 22.3% / Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 15.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 ✓ Pick
61.9%
X
22.2%
2
15.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Sutton United
2
:
2
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Sutton United 62%
๐น Market
Sutton United 6194%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Sutton United - Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 61.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.221 / LogLoss 0.481
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 61.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.221 / LogLoss 0.481
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Sutton United
62.3%
61.8%
market and model agree
Draw
22.4%
22.3%
draw risk
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
15.4%
15.9%
1X2: 15 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
61.8% / 22.3% / 15.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,712 / 1,521
Sutton United / Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
208 / 193
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,295-2,129 / 1,136-1,906
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.76
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 15.9%
X
4.08
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.46
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 61.8%
Double chance
12
1.17
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 77.7%
1X
1.06
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 84.1%
X2
2.48
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 38.2%
Handicap
2 +1
2.00
market consensus ยท line only
1 -1
1.72
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.16
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.01
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 6.08 16.5% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.00 16.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 2.35 42.6% | 2.60 38.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_3 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 3_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
Match center
Sutton United
W
D
L
W
D
Sutton United
2:0
Khorsham ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Sutton United
1:1
Uolton end Khershem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Sutton United
1:2
Uimbldon ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Uimbldon ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Sutton United
2:0
Tonbridzh ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Tonbridzh ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Sutton United
2:2
AFK Totton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
L
W
L
D
W
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0:1
Sholing ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:0
Charlton U21 ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1:3
Krey Vonderers ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0:0
Dartford ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
5:2
Kroydon Atletik ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySutton United - Folkestoun ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Sutton United
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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