UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Scarborough Athletic - Hull City U21
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Hull City U21 — 51%
Model estimate: win Scarborough Athletic 30.6%, draw 18.6%, win Hull City U21 50.8%. Model favourite — Hull City U21.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Khall Siti U21 🏴: probability 51% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.18)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Scarborough Athletic - Hull City U21 July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.14 / X 6.90 / 2 15.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Now in play
score 1:0 · 55'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
55'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Scarborough Athletic - Hull City U21
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.50 66.7% | 3.08 32.5% |
| yes | 2.40 41.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 4.70 21.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.13 32.0% | |
| X | 2.51 39.8% |
| 2.62 38.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
Full head-to-head historyScarborough Athletic - Hull City U21
Match history
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The Scarborough Athletic - Hull City U21 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form