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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

31.07.2026 16:30 UTC

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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield

Football

Scunthorpe United

- : -

Not started

Chesterfield

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Chesterfield — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Chesterfield): model 26% · market 53% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Scunthorpe United25.6%

X · draw23.7%

2 · Chesterfield50.7%

Model estimate: win Scunthorpe United 25.6%, draw 23.7%, win Chesterfield 50.7%. Model favourite — Chesterfield.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Scunthorpe United (odds3.81) Score 2:1 confidence 59%

• Model backs Skantorp Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 59% vs 26% on the line (odds 3.81)
• edge over the line +33 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chesterfield. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / X 3.95 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%

1 23.5%

X 23.5%

2 53.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Scunthorpe United 23.9% 25.6%

Draw 23.9% 23.7% draw risk

Chesterfield 52.2% 50.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 25.6% / 23.7% / 50.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,626 / 1,480 Scunthorpe United / Chesterfield

RD 292 / 220 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,042-2,211 / 1,040-1,920 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%

X 3.95 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.95 Fonbet · no value · model 25.6%

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 76.3%

1X 1.95 Fonbet · no value · model 49.3%

X2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 74.4%

Handicap

2 -1 2.29 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.35 market consensus · line only

1 +1 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.38 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.38 42.0%
yes	1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%
1x	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%
x2	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.25 23.5%
X	2.36 42.4%
	2.27 44.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.24 80.7%
Over 1.5	2.25 44.4%
Under 0.5	3.61 27.7%
Under 1.5	1.57 63.7%

Match center

Scunthorpe United

D L L W W

28.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 2:2 North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

22.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 0:2 Bakston 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 0:4 Spalding Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

16.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 1:0 Skegness Town 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

07.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Scunthorpe United 2:1 Brigg Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Chesterfield

W L D

18.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Chesterfield 2:0 Boston Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

15.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Chesterfield 2:3 Galifaks Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

11.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Chesterfield 0:0 Sheffild Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

1 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.3 Scored

1.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyScunthorpe United - Chesterfield

Scunthorpe United

0 matches total

Chesterfield

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield

AI match prediction Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Scunthorpe United - Chesterfield

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history