Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°

Futbol
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
2 : 1
Finished
Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

πŸ’Ž Β«ValueΒ»

2Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° β€” odds 6.20 Β· edge +5.9% Β· 11 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ.

Line favourite market consensus: Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.06 / 2 4.43
  • 1X2 market: Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 56.6% / X 22.6% / Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡° 20.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 56.7%
X 22.6%
2 20.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 1.47 Unibet
X 4.80 BetVictor
2 7.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.33 Conceded 0.67 xG 1.76 xGA 1.22
Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.15 Conceded 1.44 xG 1.55 xGA 1.59

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Rating 1673
Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
Rating 1509

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.74 market consensus Β· line only
X 7.00 Fonbet Β· line only
1 1.03 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 7.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.80 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 2.05 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 3.38 market consensus Β· line only
1 -1 1.20 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.90 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 2.30 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.66 60.2%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8% 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%
4.50 22.2% 4.54 22.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.30 23.3% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.55 64.5% 2.25 44.4%
yes 2.30 43.5% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.70 37.0% 7.70 13.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.89 52.9%
X 2.48 40.3%
5.90 17.0%
Match center
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
D
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 0:0 Skalitsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points