UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Slough Town - Oxford City
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Oxford City — 50%
Pure model vs market (2 · Oxford City): model 31% · market 16% Δ +15 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Slough Town 26.4%, draw 23.7%, win Oxford City 49.9%. Model favourite — Oxford City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 26% on the line (odds 3.81)
- • edge over the line +24 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Slough Town - Oxford City July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.55 / X 3.65 / 2 5.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 1:0 · 56'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
56'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Slough Town - Oxford City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.62 61.7% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.38 72.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| X | 2.31 43.3% |
| 2.08 48.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.08 48.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Odds · 3 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 6.1 | 4.5 | 1.45 |
| Winline | 5.4 | 4.4 | 1.45 |
| Fonbet | 6.1 | 4.5 | 1.45 |
Slough Town
Chatem 🏴
Oxford City
Full head-to-head historySlough Town - Oxford City
Match history
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The Slough Town - Oxford City breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form