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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
30.06.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
30.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk

Futbol
S
Sochi
4 : 2
Finished
S
SKA Khabarovsk
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sochi (odds1.35) Score 1:0 (odds7.88) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Sochi 🇷🇺: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk June 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sochi.

Line favourite market consensus: Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.45 / 2 6.75
  • 1X2 market: Sochi 65.2% / X 21.0% / SKA Khabarovsk 13.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 65.1%
X 21.1%
2 13.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 2 books
1 1.44 1xBet
X 4.45 Marathonbet
2 6.75 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sochi
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 2.23 Conceded 1.93 xG 2.35 xGA 0.93
SKA Khabarovsk
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.76 xG 1.24 xGA 1.81

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sochi
Rating 1579
SKA Khabarovsk
Rating 1629

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 30.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.75 market consensus · line only
X 4.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.53 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9%
X 4.45 22.5% 4.45 22.5%
6.75 14.8% 6.75 14.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 6.50 15.4%
yes 1.08 92.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.14 87.7%
x2 14.00 7.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.09 91.7%
2.35 42.6%
1.08 92.6%
1.55 64.5%
4.70 21.3%
1.40 71.4%
7.70 13.0%
1.04 96.2%
7.30 13.7%
6.00 16.7%
1.53 65.4%
6.50 15.4%
2.25 44.4%
1.15 87.0%
2.70 37.0%
1.06 94.3%
9.00 11.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySochi - SKA Khabarovsk

Sochi
0 matches total
SKA Khabarovsk
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history