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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
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Not started
N
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sporting ๐ต๐น โ 64%
Model estimate: win Sporting ๐ต๐น 63.7%, draw 16.8%, win Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 19.5%. Model favourite โ Sporting ๐ต๐น.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Sporting ๐ต๐น (odds1.57)
Score 2:0
Under 6.5
(odds1.57)
Handicap H2 +5.5
(odds3.75)
confidence 64%
- • Model backs Sporting ๐ต๐น: probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 6.5 (odds 1.57)
- • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 3.75).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
LIVE
Match momentum (live)
6:1 93'
Sporting ๐ต๐น
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Match center
Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Form
3/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Sporting ๐ต๐น
-
63.7%
model pick
Draw
-
16.8%
draw risk
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
-
19.5%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
63.7% / 16.8% / 19.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,882 / 1,649
Sporting ๐ต๐น / Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
228 / 189
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,427-2,338 / 1,270-2,027
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 3.75 26.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 7.5 | 7.60 13.2% |
| Over 8.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.85 26.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
Match center
Sporting ๐ต๐น
W
W
W
Sporting ๐ต๐น
2:0
Monako ๐ซ๐ท
Sporting ๐ต๐น
7:0
Strasbur ๐ซ๐ท
Sporting ๐ต๐น
4:1
Seltik ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ
Seltik ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.3
Scored
0.3
Conceded
9
Points
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
D
L
W
W
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1:1
Vitoriya Gimaraynsh ๐ต๐น
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:5
Riu Ave ๐ต๐น
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
3:0
Blekbern ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:0
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Sporting ๐ต๐น
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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