UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sporting ๐ต๐น โ 64%
Model estimate: win Sporting ๐ต๐น 63.7%, draw 16.8%, win Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 19.5%. Model favourite โ Sporting ๐ต๐น.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Sporting ๐ต๐น: probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 6.5 (odds 1.57)
- • Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 3.75).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 3.75 26.7% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 7.5 | 7.60 13.2% |
| Over 8.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 3.35 29.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.85 26.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
Sporting ๐ต๐น
Seltik ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ
Notts Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Full head-to-head historySporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Match history
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The Sporting ๐ต๐น - Nottingem Forest ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form