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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

30.07.2026 16:45 UTC

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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Sporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Football

Sporting 🇵🇹

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Not started

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sporting 🇵🇹 — 64%

1 · Sporting 🇵🇹 ✓ Pick63.7%

market43%

X · draw16.8%

market24%

2 · Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿19.5%

market32%

Model estimate: win Sporting 🇵🇹 63.7%, draw 16.8%, win Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 19.5%. Model favourite — Sporting 🇵🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sporting 🇵🇹 (odds1.57) Score 2:0 Under 6.5 (odds1.57) Handicap H2 +5.5 (odds3.75) confidence 64%

• Model backs Sporting 🇵🇹: probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:0
• Total: Under 6.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 6.5 (odds 1.57)
• Handicap F2 +5.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 3.75).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting 🇵🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.90 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%

1 ✓ Pick 43.4%

X 24.1%

2 32.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 16:45 UTC

Match center

Sporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Form 3/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sporting 🇵🇹 - 63.7% model pick

Draw - 16.8% draw risk

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 - 19.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 63.7% / 16.8% / 19.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,882 / 1,649 Sporting 🇵🇹 / Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

RD 228 / 189 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,427-2,338 / 1,270-2,027 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.90 market consensus · no value · model 19.5%

X 3.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.17 market consensus · value +38.1% · model 63.7%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.85 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.85 35.1%
yes	1.43 69.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.65 37.7%
X	2.60 38.5%
	3.35 29.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.08 48.1%
Under 1.5	1.73 57.8%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
	—	2.14 46.7%
	1.03 97.1%	—
	1.20 83.3%	—
	—	1.69 59.2%
	8.50 11.8%	—
	3.75 26.7%	—

Match center

Sporting 🇵🇹

W W W

25.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Sporting 🇵🇹 2:0 Monako 🇫🇷

20.07 17:15 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Sporting 🇵🇹 7:0 Strasbur 🇫🇷

14.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Sporting 🇵🇹 4:1 Seltik 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

3 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

4.3 Scored

0.3 Conceded

9 Points

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

D L W W

26.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 1:1 Vitoriya Gimaraynsh 🇵🇹

23.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 2:5 Riu Ave 🇵🇹

22.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 3:0 Blekbern 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 2:0 Notts Kaunti 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

2 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Sporting 🇵🇹

0 matches total

Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Sporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

AI match prediction Sporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 July 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Sporting 🇵🇹 - Nottingem Forest 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Match history