Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Stade Briochin - Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin meet Stade Brestois 29 on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Stade Briochin 2-2-1, Stade Brestois 29 0-3-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Stade Brestois 29 — 59%
Pure model vs market (2 · Stade Brestois 29): model 20% · market 61% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Stade Briochin 18.7%, draw 22.4%, win Stade Brestois 29 58.9%. Model favourite — Stade Brestois 29.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Stad Brioshen 🇫🇷: probability 58% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.74)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stade Briochin - Stade Brestois 29 August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.90 / X 4.15 / 2 1.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Stade Briochin - Stade Brestois 29
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.25 44.4% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| X | 2.38 42.0% |
| 2.01 49.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | — | 1.78 56.2% | — | |
| — | — | 2.02 49.5% | — | |
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | — | 1.81 55.3% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | — | 2.05 48.8% |
Team To Score First
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.27 30.6% | |
| X | 13.30 7.5% |
| 1.43 69.9% |
Full head-to-head historyStade Briochin - Stade Brestois 29
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Stade Briochin - Stade Brestois 29 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form