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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Stoke City - Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
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Not started
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Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 51%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 45% ยท market 52% ฮ โ7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Stoke City 23.4%, draw 25.2%, win Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 51.4%. Model favourite โ Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (odds1.66)
Score 1:2
confidence 51%
- • Model backs Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 51% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.66)
- • no edge over the line (-9 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Stoke City - Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Line favourite market consensus: Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.02 / X 3.61 / 2 1.77
- 1X2 market: Stoke City 22.8% / X 25.4% / Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 51.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.1%
1
22.8%
X
25.4%
2
51.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
3.60
โ 4.20
1X2 X
3.60
โ 3.75
1X2 P2
1.97
โ 1.80
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Stoke City
1
:
1
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
14.27
X3.72
21.77
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
LIVE
Now in play
score 0:0 ยท 56'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
LIVE
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
56'
Stoke City (1)
Draw (X) Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ (2)
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
LIVE
Match momentum (live)
0:0 56'
Stoke City
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 51%
๐น Market
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 5184%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Stoke City - Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Football, Stok Siti - Everton, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Stok Siti - Everton, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Tournament
Line
Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Stoke City
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
25.4%
25.2%
draw risk
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
51.9%
51.4%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
23.4% / 25.2% / 51.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,493 / 1,704
Stoke City / Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
RD
251 / 236
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
991-1,996 / 1,233-2,175
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.25
Fonbet ยท weak value +67.1% ยท model 51.4%
X
2.20
Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.25
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 23.4%
Double chance
12
1.65
Fonbet ยท value +23.5% ยท model 74.8%
1X
1.35
Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 48.6%
X2
1.35
Fonbet ยท weak value +3.4% ยท model 76.6%
Handicap
2 -1
1.04
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1
7.40
Fonbet ยท line only
2 0
1.85
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1
7.70
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
6.00
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
1.08
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
1.16
Fonbet ยท line only
Yes
4.60
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.95 25.3% | 4.30 23.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 1.81 55.3% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.16 86.2% | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 4.60 21.7% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.65 60.6% |
| 1x | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.35 74.1% |
| x2 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.35 74.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_5 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_4 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_5 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 1_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
Match center
Odds ยท 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 4.21 (Winline) ยท X 3.7 (Winline) ยท 2 1.95 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
| Winline | 4.21 | 3.7 | 1.75 |
| Fonbet | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
| Betcity | 4.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.6 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Stoke City
D
L
Stoke City
1:1
Kryu ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Kryu ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Stoke City
0:1
Braga ๐ต๐น
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
D
W
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0:0
Bolton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Bolton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
4:0
Dandi ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyStoke City - Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Stoke City
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Stoke City
Team 2
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Stoke City
Team comparison
Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
Games
1
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
0
Scored
0
0
Conceded
0
0
Points
1
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
0
Shots on goal
0
0
Udary v stvor
0
Stok Siti Everton 0 Games 1 0 Wins 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0
Unlock the full match prediction
The Stoke City - Everton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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