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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

28.07.2026 16:45 UTC

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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Stoke City - Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Football

Stoke City

- : -

Not started

Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿): model 45% · market 52% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Stoke City23.4%

X · draw25.2%

2 · Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿51.4%

Model estimate: win Stoke City 23.4%, draw 25.2%, win Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 51.4%. Model favourite — Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 (odds1.66) Score 1:2 confidence 51%

• Model backs Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 51% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.66)
• no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stoke City - Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿.

Line favourite market consensus: Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.02 / X 3.61 / 2 1.77
1X2 market: Stoke City 22.8% / X 25.4% / Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%

1 22.8%

X 25.4%

2 51.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 3.60 ↑ 4.20

1X2 X 3.60 ↑ 3.75

1X2 P2 1.97 ↓ 1.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Stoke City 1 : 1 Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

14.27

X3.72

21.77

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 16:45 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 51%

💹 Market Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 5184%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Stoke City - Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Football, Stok Siti - Everton, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Stok Siti - Everton, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Stoke City 22.8% 23.4%

Draw 25.4% 25.2% draw risk

Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 51.9% 51.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 23.4% / 25.2% / 51.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,493 / 1,704 Stoke City / Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

RD 251 / 236 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 991-1,996 / 1,233-2,175 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.78 Fonbet · no value · model 51.4%

X 3.75 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 23.4%

Double chance

12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.8%

1X 1.98 Fonbet · no value · model 48.6%

X2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 76.6%

Handicap

2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.30 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.35 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 6.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	3.95 25.3%	4.30 23.3%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	4.10 24.4%
X	3.80 26.3%	3.75 26.7%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%
	1.81 55.3%	1.76 56.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.10 47.6%	2.09 47.9%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.23 81.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
1x	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%
x2	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	10.00 10.0%
0_1	7.00 14.3%
0_2	8.00 12.5%
0_3	13.00 7.7%
0_4	26.00 3.9%
0_5	61.00 1.6%
0_6	126.00 0.8%
1_0	11.00 9.1%
1_1	6.25 16.0%
1_2	7.00 14.3%
1_3	11.00 9.1%
1_4	23.00 4.4%
1_5	51.00 2.0%
1_6	126.00 0.8%
2_0	17.00 5.9%
2_1	10.00 10.0%
2_2	11.00 9.1%
2_3	17.00 5.9%

Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.21 (Winline) · X 3.7 (Winline) · 2 1.95 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	3.6	3.6	1.95
Winline	4.21	3.7	1.75
Fonbet	3.6	3.6	1.95
Betcity	4.2	3.7	1.8
Liga Stavok	3.6	3.5	1.91

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Stoke City

D L

18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Stoke City 1:1 Kryu 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

10.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Stoke City 0:1 Braga 🇵🇹

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

0.5 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

D W

25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 0:0 Bolton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

18.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 4:0 Dandi 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyStoke City - Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Stoke City

0 matches total

Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Stoke City

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Everton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

0 Games 1

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 1

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Udary v stvor 0

0 Games 1

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

Stok Siti Everton 0 Games 1 0 Wins 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 9% 26% 65% Double chance 18% 36% 46% Materialy po prognozam «Everton» — «Man Siti». U Gvardioly malo vremeni «Brayton» — «Everton». Roberto De Dzerbi voskhischaet «Lester» — «Everton». Dzheymi Vardi vyberetsya iz zony vyleta «Everton» — «Nyukasl». Pomyagche, chem s «Tottenkhemom» «Chelsi» — «Everton». Prognoz: Lempard ne sumeet vykrutitsya v matche s mudrym Anchelotti «Everton» — «MYu». Prognoz: bez Pogba and Rashforda Sulsher stanet dobychey dlya Anchelotti «Arsenal» — «Everton». Prognoz: mudryy Anchelotti propishet londontsam «gorchichniki» «Derbi Kaunti» — «Stok». Prognoz: Ueyn Runi nakazhet bukmekerov za nedootsenku «baranov» «Liverpul» — «Everton». Prognoz: debyut Minamino na «Enfilde» poluchitsya slozhnym «Manchester Siti» — «Everton». Prognoz: Papa Karlo prouchit Gvardiolu CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], x