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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Strasbourg - Elversberg

Football
S
Strasbourg
- : -
Finished
E
Elversberg

Strasbourg take on Elversberg on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Strasbourg 2-0-3, Elversberg 2-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Elversberg — 56%

1 · Strasbourg26.0%
X · draw17.9%
2 · Elversberg ✓ Pick56.1%

Model estimate: win Strasbourg 26.0%, draw 17.9%, win Elversberg 56.1%. Model favourite — Elversberg.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Elversberg (odds2.06) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Elfersberg 🇩🇪: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.06)
  • • edge over the line +1 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Elversberg August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / X 4.00 / 2 4.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8% 2 books · best price +3.2%
1 54.8%
X 22.8%
2 ✓ Pick 22.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Strasbourg
#11200 ptsGP 20-0-23:6
Elversberg
#4783 ptsGP 11-0-01:0
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Strasbourg
W-D-L 1-2-7 Scored 0.96 Conceded 3.08 xG 1.35 xGA 1.59
Elversberg
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 2.19 Conceded 2.04 xG 2.10 xGA 1.29

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Strasbourg
Rating 1441
Elversberg
Rating 1799

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Strasbourg 5 : 1 Elversberg

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 53.6% @ 1.75 / X 23.5% @ 4.00 / 2 22.9% @ 4.10
Match center

Strasbourg - Elversberg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Strasbourg 55.9% 26.0% market favourite
Draw 22.1% 17.9% draw risk
Elversberg 22.0% 56.1% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.0% / 17.9% / 56.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,396 / 1,684 Strasbourg / Viktoria Koln
RD 244 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 907-1,884 / 1,293-2,076 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.10 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 56.1%
X 4.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.75 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 26.0%
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 82.1%
1X 1.22 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 43.9%
X2 2.00 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 74.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.22 82.0%
x2 2.00 50.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.05 48.8%
X 2.63 38.0%
4.33 23.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 1.5 1.76 56.8%
Match center
Strasbourg
L L L W W
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Strasbourg Brighton 4:3 Strasbourg
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Strasbourg Strasbourg 0:2 Blackburn Rovers
2026-07-20 Club Friendly Games 2026
Strasbourg Sporting Lisbon 7:0 Strasbourg
2026-05-17 Ligue 1 25/26
Strasbourg Strasbourg 5:4 Monaco
2026-05-13 Ligue 1 25/26
Strasbourg Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Strasbourg
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.6 Conceded
6 Points
Elversberg
W L D W L
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
NEC Nijmegen 0:1 Elversberg Elversberg
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Elversberg 1:2 Viktoria Koln Elversberg
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Elversberg 1:1 Thun Elversberg
2026-05-17 2. Bundesliga 25/26
Elversberg 3:0 Preussen Munster Elversberg
2026-05-10 2. Bundesliga 25/26
Fortuna Düsseldorf 3:1 Elversberg Elversberg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Elversberg

Strasbourg
0 matches total
Elversberg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history