Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Strasbourg face Elversberg on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Strasbourg 2-0-3, Elversberg 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Strasbourg the favourite at about 48%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Strasbourg — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Strasbourg): model 30% · market 48% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Strasbourg 47.4%, draw 24.3%, win Elversberg 28.3%. Model favourite — Strasbourg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 13 books (1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betfair, Dafabet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 3.51 28.5% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.55 28.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% |
| x2 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 36.00 2.8% |
| 0_4 | 90.00 1.1% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_4 | 60.00 1.7% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.75 | 4 | 4.1 |
| Winline | 1.72 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Fonbet | 1.75 | 4 | 4.1 |
| Betcity | 1.75 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Elversberg
The Strasbourg - Elversberg breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
