Match center
Start
03.07.2026 11:00 UTC
03.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Sturm - Koshitse 🇸🇰
2
:
2
Finished
K
Koshitse 🇸🇰
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
💎 «Value»
Xdraw — odds 5.20 · edge +3.2% · 10 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sturm - Koshitse 🇸🇰 July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sturm.
Line favourite market consensus: Sturm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.51 / 2 4.90
- 1X2 market: Sturm 61.1% / X 20.2% / Koshitse 🇸🇰 18.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.1%
1
61.3%
X
20.1%
2
18.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 11 books
1
1.58
Unibet
X
5.30
Marathonbet
2
5.90
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sturm
W-D-L 3-5-2
Scored 2.20
Conceded 1.94
xG 1.83
xGA 1.39
Koshitse 🇸🇰
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 2.49
Conceded 1.54
xG 2.02
xGA 1.28
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Sturm
Rating 1622
Koshitse 🇸🇰
Rating 1648
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Sturm - Koshitse 🇸🇰
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.50
Fonbet · line only
X
1.43
Fonbet · line only
1
3.65
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
2.65
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.06
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.05
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
6.60
Fonbet · line only
2 0
3.45
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
7.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.48 67.6% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 4.60 21.7% | 5.35 18.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.85 20.6% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.67 37.5% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 2.65 37.7% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
Match center
Sturm
L
W
Sturm
1:5
LNZ Cherkascy 🇺🇦
LNZ Cherkascy 🇺🇦
Sturm
5:0
Mura 🇸🇮
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySturm - Koshitse 🇸🇰
Sturm
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals