Match center
Start
03.07.2026 11:00 UTC
03.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Sturm - Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ
2
:
2
Finished
K
Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
๐ ยซValueยป
Xdraw โ odds 5.20 ยท edge +3.2% ยท 10 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sturm - Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sturm.
Line favourite market consensus: Sturm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.51 / 2 4.90
- 1X2 market: Sturm 61.1% / X 20.2% / Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ 18.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.1%
1
61.3%
X
20.1%
2
18.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 11 books
1
1.58
Unibet
X
5.30
Marathonbet
2
5.90
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data โ for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sturm
W-D-L 3-5-2
Scored 2.20
Conceded 1.94
xG 1.83
xGA 1.39
Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 2.49
Conceded 1.54
xG 2.02
xGA 1.28
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Sturm
Rating 1622
Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ
Rating 1648
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Sturm - Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.50
Fonbet ยท line only
X
1.43
Fonbet ยท line only
1
3.65
Fonbet ยท line only
Double chance
12
2.65
Fonbet ยท line only
1X
1.06
Fonbet ยท line only
X2
1.25
Fonbet ยท line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.05
Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1
6.60
Fonbet ยท line only
2 0
3.45
Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1
7.00
Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.18
Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5
4.10
Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.55
Fonbet ยท line only
Yes
1.45
Fonbet ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.48 67.6% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 4.60 21.7% | 5.35 18.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.85 20.6% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.67 37.5% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 2.65 37.7% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
Match center
Sturm
L
W
Sturm
1:5
LNZ Cherkascy ๐บ๐ฆ
LNZ Cherkascy ๐บ๐ฆ
Sturm
5:0
Mura ๐ธ๐ฎ
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySturm - Koshitse ๐ธ๐ฐ
Sturm
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals