Match center
Start
26.06.2026 15:00 UTC
26.06.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Sturm - Mura
5
:
0
Finished
M
Mura
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sturm - Mura June 26, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sturm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 7.10 / 2 15.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 19.8%
1
82.7%
X
11.8%
2
5.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sturm - Mura
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.07
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
3.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.20
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.30
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.10
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.08
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.90
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.08 92.6% |
| yes | 5.90 17.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 10.00 10.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.20 83.3% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 1.23 81.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 3.90 25.6% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 4.00 25.0% | |
| 5.80 17.2% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 7.50 13.3% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 10.50 9.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 3 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 4 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 5 | 5.50 18.2% |
| Over 5.5 | 3.80 26.3% |
| Over 6.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.90 20.4% |
| Under 1 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Under 2 | 2.70 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Under 3 | 2.15 46.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historySturm - Mura
Sturm
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals