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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Tenerife - Cadiz

Football
T
Tenerife
- : -
Not started
C
Cadiz

Tenerife take on Cadiz on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tenerife 3-0-2, Cadiz 1-0-4. The market favourite is Cadiz at roughly 36%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tenerife43%

Pure model vs market (1 · Tenerife): model 64% · market 35% Δ +29 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Tenerife42.6%
X · draw27.8%
2 · Cadiz29.5%

Model estimate: win Tenerife 42.6%, draw 27.8%, win Cadiz 29.5%. Model favourite — Tenerife.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.27) Score 1:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.27)
  • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tenerife - Cadiz August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cadiz.

Line favourite market consensus: Cadiz. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.14 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Tenerife 35.1% / X 29.1% / Cadiz 35.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 35.1%
X 29.1%
2 35.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Tenerife
#2573 ptsGP 21-0-17:2
Cadiz
#11910 ptsGP 30-0-31:5
Best price across 8 books
1 2.23 1xBet
X 3.36 Marathonbet
2 3.30 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tenerife
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.44 Conceded 0.93 xG 1.56 xGA 1.23 Corners 3.0
Cadiz
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.47 Conceded 1.75 xG 1.39 xGA 1.15

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Tenerife
Rating 1631
Cadiz
Rating 1373

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 35.1% @ 2.60 / X 29.1% @ 3.14 / 2 35.8% @ 2.55
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tenerife 43%
💹 Market Cadiz 3578%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Tenerife - Cadiz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tenerife 41.3% 42.6% market and model agree
Draw 28.5% 27.8% draw risk
Cadiz 30.3% 29.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.6% / 27.8% / 29.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,873 / 1,469 Tenerife / Cadiz
RD 240 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,393-2,352 / 1,087-1,850 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 29.5%
X 3.25 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.90 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 72.2%
1X 1.53 Fonbet · value +7.8% · model 70.5%
X2 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 57.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.14 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.55 39.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.16 31.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.55 39.2% 2.59 38.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.65 37.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.45 69.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
x2 1.31 76.3% 1.38 72.5% 1.35 74.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_2 11.00 9.1%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 56.00 1.8%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 46.00 2.2%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 23.00 4.4%
2_4 56.00 1.8%
3_0 23.00 4.4%
3_1 17.00 5.9%
Match center
Tenerife
W W L L W
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Tenerife Tenerife 2:0 UD Anaza
2026-07-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Tenerife Marino 0:6 Tenerife
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Tenerife Tenerife 1:2 Getafe
2026-05-23 Primera Federacion 25/26, Group 1
Tenerife Ourense CF 2:1 Tenerife
2026-05-17 Primera Federacion 25/26, Group 1
Tenerife Tenerife 3:0 Pontevedra
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Cadiz
L L L L W
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Cadiz 1:3 Ceuta Cadiz
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Cadiz 0:1 Cordoba Cadiz
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Cadiz 0:1 Leicester Cadiz
2026-05-31 LaLiga 2 25/26
Racing Santander 4:1 Cadiz Cadiz
2026-05-24 LaLiga 2 25/26
Cadiz 3:0 Leganes Cadiz
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTenerife - Cadiz

Tenerife
0 matches total
Cadiz
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history