Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Tenerife - Tamaraceite
Tenerife meet Tamaraceite on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Tenerife 2-1-2, Tamaraceite 2-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Tenerife the favourite at about 67%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Tenerife — 68%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tenerife): model 63% · market 68% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Tenerife 67.7%, draw 20.6%, win Tamaraceite 11.8%. Model favourite — Tenerife.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Tenerife 🇪🇸: probability 60% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tenerife - Tamaraceite August 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tenerife.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.32 / 2 7.66
- 1X2 market: Tenerife 66.9% / X 21.1% / Tamaraceite 12.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 13 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Tenerife - Tamaraceite
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 8.65 11.6% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.70 14.9% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.80 12.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 2.21 45.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | — | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 3.47 28.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.55 28.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_1 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_3 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 1_3 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 1_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.35 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| Winline | 1.39 | 4.3 | 6.8 |
| Fonbet | 1.35 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| Betcity | 1.37 | 4.3 | 7.3 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.4 | 4.4 | 6.8 |
Full head-to-head historyTenerife - Tamaraceite
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form