UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Tirol š¦š¹ - Gurnik Zabzhe šµš±
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Gurnik Zabzhe šµš± ā odds 2.85 Ā· edge +14.6% Ā· 3 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tirol š¦š¹ - Gurnik Zabzhe šµš± July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 11.50 / X 1.20 / 2 5.60
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin ā for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds ā reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 0
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density ā from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Tirol š¦š¹ - Gurnik Zabzhe šµš±
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.01 99.0% | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 11.50 8.7% | 1.74 57.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.32 75.8% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 1.44 69.4% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | |
| X | 2.06 48.5% |
| 3.73 26.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.29 43.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
Zaltsburg š¦š¹
Full head-to-head historyTirol š¦š¹ - Gurnik Zabzhe šµš±