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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Toledo 🇪🇸 - Navalkarnero 🇪🇸

Football
T
Toledo 🇪🇸
- : -
Not started
N
Navalkarnero 🇪🇸

Toledo 🇪🇸 face Navalkarnero 🇪🇸 on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Toledo 🇪🇸 — 52%

1 · Toledo 🇪🇸52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Navalkarnero 🇪🇸28.5%

Model estimate: win Toledo 🇪🇸 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Navalkarnero 🇪🇸 28.5%. Model favourite — Toledo 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Toledo 🇪🇸 (odds2.36) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Toledo 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toledo 🇪🇸 - Navalkarnero 🇪🇸 August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Toledo 🇪🇸 1 : 1 Navalkarnero 🇪🇸

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Toledo 🇪🇸 - Navalkarnero 🇪🇸

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toledo 🇪🇸 - 52.1% model pick
Draw - 19.4% draw risk
Navalkarnero 🇪🇸 - 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Toledo 🇪🇸 / Navalkarnero 🇪🇸
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.