UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Tonbridge Angels — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Tonbridge Angels): model 46% · market 20% Δ +26 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Tonbridge Angels 51.8%, draw 24.2%, win Eastbourne Borough 24.1%. Model favourite — Tonbridge Angels.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Tonbridzh 🏴: probability 54% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.70 / X 3.45 / 2 1.70
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 0:1 · 45'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
45'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.60 38.5% | 2.47 40.5% |
| yes | 1.43 69.9% | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.98 50.5% |
| x2 | 1.96 51.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.29 43.7% | |
| X | 2.28 43.9% |
| 4.42 22.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.81 26.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4 |
| Fonbet | 1.73 | 3.95 | 4 |
Tonbridge Angels
Satton Yunayted 🏴
Full head-to-head historyTonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form