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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

31.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Toulouse - Real Sociedad

Football

Toulouse

- : -

Not started

Real Sociedad

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Real Sociedad — 43%

Pure model vs market (2 · Real Sociedad): model 41% · market 39% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Toulouse31.5%

X · draw25.9%

2 · Real Sociedad42.6%

Model estimate: win Toulouse 31.5%, draw 25.9%, win Real Sociedad 42.6%. Model favourite — Real Sociedad.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Real Sociedad (odds2.10) Score 0:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Real Sosedad 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
• edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Real Sociedad July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / X 3.65 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.8%

1 35.3%

X 25.7%

2 39.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 3.05 → 3.05

1X2 X 3.60 → 3.60

1X2 P2 2.17 ↑ 2.18

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Toulouse 1 : 1 Real Sociedad

12.68

X3.58

22.38

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Toulouse - Real Sociedad

Football, Tuluza - Real Sosedad, 31 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Tuluza - Real Sosedad, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 1/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Toulouse 31.2% 31.5%

Draw 26.1% 25.9% draw risk

Real Sociedad 42.7% 42.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 31.5% / 25.9% / 42.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,582 / 1,726 Toulouse / Real Sociedad

RD 285 / 223 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,011-2,153 / 1,281-2,171 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.40 Fonbet · no value · model 42.6%

X 3.65 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.65 Fonbet · no value · model 31.5%

Double chance

12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 74.1%

1X 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 57.4%

X2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 68.5%

Handicap

2 -1 1.19 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.60 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.78 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 3.95 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.24 80.7%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%
1x	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%
x2	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.45 69.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.25 30.8%
X	2.25 44.4%
	2.88 34.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.65 60.6%
Over 1.5	2.15 46.5%
Under 1	2.11 47.4%
Under 1.5	1.63 61.4%

Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.7 (Betcity) · X 3.65 (Pari) · 2 2.55 (Fonbet)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.55	3.65	2.5
Winline	2.5	3.5	2.5
Fonbet	2.5	3.65	2.55
Betcity	2.7	3.6	2.4
Liga Stavok	2.5	3.45	2.5

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Toulouse

25.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Toulouse 1:1 Rodez 🇫🇷

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

Real Sociedad

W W D D

28.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Real Sociedad 4:2 Aston Villa 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

25.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Real Sociedad 2:1 Vulverkhempton 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

18.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Real Sociedad 0:0 Rasing 🇪🇸

11.07 07:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Real Sociedad 2:2 Po 🇫🇷

2 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.3 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Real Sociedad

Toulouse

0 matches total

Real Sociedad

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Toulouse

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Real Sociedad

0 Games 2

0 Wins 2

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 6

0 Conceded 3

0 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

. Prognoz: Messi and Grizmann otmazhutsya za proval v «klasiko» «Real» — «Real S

Tuluza Real Sosedad 0 Games 2 0 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 6 0 Conceded 3 0 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Yens Bertel Asku Glavnye trenery Pellegrino Mataratstso Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 5% 11% 84% Double chance 8% 44% 48% Materialy po prognozam Amorim or Zakharyan! Kto vyigraet Ligu Evropy? «Khetafe» — «Real Sosedad». Zhelanie Zakharyana ispolnitsya «Barcelona» — «Real»: «detskiy sad» Khavi ne spravitsya s Bellingemom «Atletiko» — «Real Sosedad». Diego Simeone verit v Antuana Grizmanna «Barcelona» — «Real Sosedad». U Khavi poryadok s motivatsiey «Real Sosedad» — «Real». Anchelotti vystavit «avtobus» «Tuluza» — «Lans». Obladatel kubka ne smotrit v tablitsu «Nant» — «Tuluza». Bitva autsayderov za Cup France «Barcelona» — «Real Sosedad». Prognoz: Messi and Grizmann otmazhutsya za proval v «klasiko» «Real» — «Real Sosedad». Prognoz: vozvraschenie Azara ne privedet k skachku rezultativnosti CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: