Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Trabzonspor - Udinese
Trabzonspor take on Udinese on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Trabzonspor 2-0-3, Udinese 1-0-4. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Udinese — 38%
Pure model vs market (2 · Udinese): model 31% · market 38% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Trabzonspor 37.6%, draw 24.7%, win Udinese 37.7%. Model favourite — Udinese.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Trabzonspor 🇹🇷: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.59)
- • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Trabzonspor - Udinese August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / X 3.75 / 2 2.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Trabzonspor - Udinese
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.24 44.6% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.50 66.7% |
| x2 | 1.50 66.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| X | 2.32 43.1% |
| 2.92 34.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Udinese
Full head-to-head historyTrabzonspor - Udinese
Match history
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The Trabzonspor - Udinese breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form