UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Trafford - Chorley
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Trafford — 67%
Model estimate: win Trafford 66.8%, draw 16.3%, win Chorley 17.0%. Model favourite — Trafford.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • liniya na pik P1 3.25→2.65 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Trafford 🏴: probability 60% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.10)
- • edge over the line +13 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0
- • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
- • at line 4.5 (odds 1.60)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.68).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Trafford - Chorley July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.25 / X 2.70 / 2 2.30
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 1:1 · 51'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
51'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Trafford - Chorley
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.40 71.4% |
| 1x | 1.55 64.5% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.60 62.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.08 48.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 5.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| X | 2.70 37.0% |
| 2.30 43.5% |
Akkrington 🏴
Bamber Bridzh 🏴
Full head-to-head historyTrafford - Chorley
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form