UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Troyes - FK GOAL π«π·
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Troyes β 89%
Model estimate: win Troyes 88.7%, draw 8.3%, win FK GOAL π«π· 3.0%. Model favourite β Troyes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Troyes - FK GOAL π«π· July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Troyes - FK GOAL π«π·
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.36 73.5% |
| yes | 2.99 33.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| x2 | 11.00 9.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| X | 3.66 27.3% |
| 18.30 5.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
Full head-to-head historyTroyes - FK GOAL π«π·
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Troyes - FK GOAL π«π· breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form