UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Udineze ๐ฎ๐น - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Udineze ๐ฎ๐น โ 46%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Udineze ๐ฎ๐น): model 42% ยท market 46% ฮ โ4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Udineze ๐ฎ๐น 45.7%, draw 24.2%, win Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 30.1%. Model favourite โ Udineze ๐ฎ๐น.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Udineze ๐ฎ๐น: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0
- • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 3.5 (odds 1.64)
- • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.53).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Udineze ๐ฎ๐น - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Udineze ๐ฎ๐น.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.73 / 2 3.06
- 1X2 market: Udineze ๐ฎ๐น 45.5% / X 24.6% / Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 30.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 0:1 ยท 31'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
31'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Match momentum (live)
0:1 29'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Udineze ๐ฎ๐น - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 3.12 32.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.25 30.8% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.27 78.7% | 1.51 66.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.16 86.2% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.82 55.0% |
| x2 | 2.07 48.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 1.25 80.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 50.00 2.0% |
| 1_5 | 80.00 1.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.2 |
| Winline | 1.99 | 3.7 | 3.05 |
| Fonbet | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.2 |
| Betcity | 1.95 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Sigma Olomouts ๐จ๐ฟ
Full head-to-head historyUdineze ๐ฎ๐น - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Match history
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The Udineze ๐ฎ๐น - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form