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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Waltham Abbey - Leyton Orient

Football
W
Waltham Abbey
- : -
Not started
L
Leyton Orient

Waltham Abbey take on Leyton Orient on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

The market favourite is Leyton Orient at roughly 60%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Leyton Orient โ€” 59%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Leyton Orient): model 37% ยท market 61% ฮ” โˆ’24 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Waltham Abbey20.0%
market19%
X ยท draw20.8%
market21%
2 ยท Leyton Orient59.2%
market61%

Model estimate: win Waltham Abbey 20.0%, draw 20.8%, win Leyton Orient 59.2%. Model favourite โ€” Leyton Orient.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Waltham Abbey (odds2.46) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Uoltkhem Ebbi ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.46)
  • edge over the line +9 pp โ€” value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Waltham Abbey - Leyton Orient August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leyton Orient.

Line favourite market consensus: Leyton Orient. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.83 / X 4.36 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Waltham Abbey 19.0% / X 20.9% / Leyton Orient 60.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5% 11 books ยท best price +2.0%
1 18.7%
X 20.7%
2 60.7%

Odds source: consensus of 11 books (1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Waltham Abbey
not in table
Leyton Orient
#2294 ptsGP 31-1-14:4
Best price across 9 books
1 5.25 BetVictor
X 4.55 Marathonbet
2 1.55 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data โ€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 18.9% @ 4.83 / X 21.0% @ 4.36 / 2 60.1% @ 1.52
๐ŸฅŠ Humans vs Machines
๐Ÿ“ Math model Leyton Orient 59%
๐Ÿ’น Market Leyton Orient 6011%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center

Waltham Abbey - Leyton Orient

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Waltham Abbey 18.7% 20.0%
Draw 20.7% 20.8% draw risk
Leyton Orient 60.7% 59.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 20.0% / 20.8% / 59.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,565 Uoltkhem Ebbi ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Leyton Orient
RD 350 / 181 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,203-1,927 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 59.2%
X 4.38 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.83 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 20.0%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 79.2%
1X 2.36 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 40.8%
X2 1.16 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 80.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.87 market consensus ยท line only
2 0 1.24 market consensus ยท line only
1 +1 1.87 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 3.60 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.45 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.31 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
5.05 19.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.05 24.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3%
1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.31 43.3%
yes 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.16 86.2%
1x 2.36 42.4%
x2 1.16 86.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 8.00 12.5%
0_3 11.00 9.1%
0_4 17.00 5.9%
0_5 41.00 2.4%
0_6 80.00 1.3%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 15.00 6.7%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 9.50 10.5%
1_4 15.00 6.7%
1_5 36.00 2.8%
Match center
Leyton Orient
D L D L L
01.08 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leyton Orient 0:0 Antverpen ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช
28.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leyton Orient 1:2 Svindon Taun ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟSvindon Taun ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leyton Orient 1:1 Sautend Yunayted ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟSautend Yunayted ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
22.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leyton Orient 1:2 Khorncherch ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
21.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leyton Orient 1:2 Cheshant ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWaltham Abbey - Leyton Orient

Waltham Abbey
0 matches total
Leyton Orient
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history