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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
01.08.2026 12:30 UTC
Not started
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Utrecht - Sevilla
Football
U
Utrecht
-:-
Not started
S
Sevilla
Utrecht meet Sevilla on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Utrecht 3-1-1, Sevilla 3-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Sevilla — 42%
Pure model vs market (2 · Sevilla): model 48% · market 42%Δ +6 ppmodel estimates above the market
42%2
1 · Utrecht33.4%
X · draw24.3%
2 · Sevilla42.3%
Model estimate: win Utrecht 33.4%, draw 24.3%, win Sevilla 42.3%. Model favourite — Sevilla.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Sevilla (odds2.17)Score 0:1confidence 50%
•Model backs Sevilya 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.17)
•edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
•Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Utrecht - Sevilla August 1, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / X 3.70 / 2 2.20
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.0%
132.2%
X25.3%
242.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P12.80↑ 2.90
1X2 X3.95↓ 3.70
1X2 P22.20→ 2.20
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
League table
Utrecht
#9970 ptsGP 10-0-10:1
Sevilla
#507 ptsGP 42-1-14:3
Best price
across 1 books
12.70Bet365
X3.75Bet365
22.10Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Utrecht
Rating 1472
Sevilla
Rating 1709
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Utrecht33.6%33.4%
Draw24.5%24.3%draw risk
Sevilla41.9%42.3%market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P233.4% / 24.3% / 42.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,268 / 1,569
Utrecht / Sevilla
RD278 / 180
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD713-1,824 / 1,209-1,929
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.20
Fonbet · no value · model 42.3%
X3.70
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.90
Fonbet · no value · model 33.4%
Double chance
121.25
Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
1X1.63
Fonbet · no value · model 57.7%
X21.40
Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%
Handicap
2 -11.17
Fonbet · line only
2 +13.10
Fonbet · line only
2 01.67
Fonbet · line only
1 -14.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.25
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.45
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.52
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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