Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Sevilla β 43%
Pure model vs market (2 Β· Sevilla): model 48% Β· market 42% Ξ +6 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Utrecht 33.2%, draw 24.1%, win Sevilla 42.7%. Model favourite β Sevilla.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.42 41.3% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% |
| x2 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.40 71.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.21 31.2% | |
| X | 2.43 41.2% |
| 2.66 37.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
Neymegen π³π±
Kordoba πͺπΈ
Full head-to-head historyUtrecht - Sevilla
The Utrecht - Sevilla breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
