UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2FAC Wien — 66%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Xdraw — odds 6.00 · edge +3.4% · 11 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FAC Wien.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.13 / X 5.19 / 2 1.30
- 1X2 market: Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 12.9% / X 17.5% / FAC Wien 69.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.41 15.6% | 9.00 11.1% | 6.20 16.1% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.20 13.9% | |
| X | 5.50 18.2% | 5.25 19.1% | 4.55 22.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.20 19.2% |
| 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.70 37.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 2.05 48.8% |
| 1x | 2.55 39.2% | 2.90 34.5% | 8.00 12.5% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.04 49.0% | — | |
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.69 59.2% | — | |
| — | — | 1.60 62.5% | |
| — | — | 4.20 23.8% | |
| — | — | 2.65 37.7% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 4.80 20.8% | |
| — | — | 11.50 8.7% | |
| — | — | 7.20 13.9% | |
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.05 95.2% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
Full head-to-head historyViener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien