Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
03.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien

Futbol
V
Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹
1 : 2
Finished
FAC Wien
FAC Wien
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2FAC Wien66%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

Xdraw — odds 6.00 · edge +3.4% · 11 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FAC Wien.

Line favourite market consensus: FAC Wien. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.13 / X 5.19 / 2 1.30
  • 1X2 market: Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 12.9% / X 17.5% / FAC Wien 69.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 12.7%
X 17.5%
2 69.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 8 books
1 6.50 Unibet
X 5.45 Marathonbet
2 1.41 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 3.46 Conceded 1.65 xG 2.09 xGA 1.96
FAC Wien
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.64 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.50 xGA 1.50

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹
Rating 1534
FAC Wien
Rating 1425

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Viener Sportklub 🇦🇹 - FAC Wien

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
6.41 15.6% 9.00 11.1% 6.20 16.1% 8.00 12.5% 7.50 13.3% 7.20 13.9%
X 5.50 18.2% 5.25 19.1% 4.55 22.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2%
1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.40 71.4%
yes 2.70 37.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1% 1.10 90.9% 2.05 48.8%
1x 2.55 39.2% 2.90 34.5% 8.00 12.5%
x2 1.04 96.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0%
1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2%
1.60 62.5%
4.20 23.8%
2.65 37.7%
11.50 8.7%
4.80 20.8%
11.50 8.7%
7.20 13.9%
1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2% 1.05 95.2%
2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.01 99.0%
1.25 80.0%